Stock Market Analysis

Precious metal prices – gold, silver – and related miners have been bearish for quite some time now.  It looks like that is starting to change.  When I look at the charts for gold and silver, I see similar periods of consolidation with multiple tests of support.  But even more interesting is the recent upturn…

Astute market observers understand that the economic and stock market cycles are related but not the same.  The stock market has a cycle that tends to lead or lag the economic cycle.   In the diagram below, you can see which sectors and commodities generally perform better or worst during different times within the stock and…

Entrepreneurs and investors should prepare for one of the most significant wealth-creation opportunities of their lifetime in 2023. It will be similar to the COVID housing bubble in terms of watching your home value rise quarter after quarter, but this time it will be sustainable and carry you into retirement with more than enough cash…

Stocks and bonds continued to struggle, with bonds (TLT) hitting 11-year lows. In short, anyone holding 20+ year treasury bonds just had more than ten years of investing wiped out from the high back in 2020.  The highly touted safe, low-risk income generating investment of long-term treasury bonds is down over 47% from the high. …

I’m often asked if everyone could be a profitable trader or investor. My answer is no, and the message I received from what I call a forecast follower paints the perfect picture, and I’ll share that with you here. Some people just do not have the knowledge, emotional strength, and self-discipline to succeed, and many…

I just did some research and wrote about it. I should be clear that you may find this article a little unsettling if you are nearing retirement or have already retired. On the other hand, it’s an eye-opener because the financial markets and different asset prices paint an interesting picture. But, I believe being armed…

Recent CPI/Inflation data suggests the current wave of global inflation is far from “transitory” and may persist for many months – possibly years. Some believe it is primarily a supply-side issue related to the COVID shutdowns. I think it is a combination of factors driving higher inflation right now (capital creation, stimulus, a broad speculative…

When the US Dollar is appreciating in value and trending upward, Natural Gas price trends upward as well to put moderately extreme pressures on the SPY & Crude Oil. As most energy transactions are conducted in US Dollars, this makes sense. Yet, with the recent agreement signed by Russia & China to conduct future energy…

The idea of pooling investment assets has been around for centuries.  Mutual Funds first appeared in the 1920s.  But it wasn’t until the 1980s that mutual funds became widely popular with mainstream investors. In recent years, ETFs have taken off as an alternative to mutual funds. An exchange-traded fund (ETF) is a “basket” of stocks,…

My research shows a new Gold Apex pattern is set up for September 11~15. Around September 11 or after, Gold will attempt to reach this new Apex level near $1766. This price pattern is important because the US Fed rate decision date is September 20~21, and a host of economic data reporting comes out the…

In 2020 & 2021, we published a very well-received series of articles related to a longer-term pattern we called the Excess Phase Peak pattern. At that time, we highlighted the five (5) components of the Excess Phase Peak pattern and provided a number of examples showing how it usually played out for traders. You can…