Why This Market Feels Strong, But Carries More Risk Than Most Investors Realize

In this interview with Vladyslav Grabarskyy, I walk through what I believe is a very late-stage, euphoric phase in the stock market, where prices continue to push higher despite growing global uncertainty. We’re seeing aggressive participation in areas like micro-cap stocks, along with strong volume and new highs, which historically signals excess optimism rather than sustainable growth. While markets can continue trending higher for longer than expected, the bigger picture shows elevated risk, especially for those nearing or in retirement who cannot afford large drawdowns.

I also break down the outlook across key asset classes, including gold, silver, mining stocks, uranium, oil, real estate, and the U.S. dollar. Each of these markets is at a critical point, with potential for both continuation and sharp reversals depending on broader economic conditions. The key takeaway is that markets move in cycles, and what appears strong on the surface can shift quickly. From my perspective, the focus remains on understanding trends, managing risk, and recognizing that protecting capital during uncertain phases is just as important as participating in growth.

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Topics that Vladyslav and I discussed include:

• 00:00 – Introduction
• 01:06 – Stock Market Outlook: Euphoric Phase Amid the Iran War and Uncertainty — What’s Next?
• 03:16 – Huge Volume and All-Time Highs in Micro-Caps
• 04:03 – Does the Stock Market Have More Upside Ahead After the April Correction?
• 06:00 – Big Picture: Will Markets Go Higher for Many Years to Come? Can Anything Stop This Trend?
• 08:35 – Does Chris Expect Markets to Be Higher 2–3 Years From Now?
• 09:41 – Why Older Investors Should Be Very Careful and What Concerns Chris the Most
• 10:05 – Gold: What’s Next? Looking at All Possible Scenarios
• 12:13 – Silver: Analyzing Upside and Downside Targets
• 14:19 – Precious Metals Big Picture: Is a Big Pullback Inevitable?
• 16:38 – Comparing This Big Move in Precious Metals to Previous Big Moves in the 1970s and 2000s
• 19:00 – Mining Stocks
• 21:22 – Where Money Is Flowing Right Now and How to Always Find Opportunities
• 23:40 – Real Estate: More Upside Ahead?
• 26:15 – Playing the Real Estate Market Using an ETF
• 28:03 – Uranium: Breakout and Bright Future Ahead?
• 30:30 – Oil: Is It About to Fall Lower?
• 33:48 – U.S. Dollar: Breakout and Global Recession

Chris Vermeulen
Chief Investment Officer
TheTechnicalTraders.com

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