Market Euphoria Is Fading: What Stocks, Gold, Bitcoin, Oil, and the Dollar Are Signaling Now

In this latest interview with David Lin, I walked through the charts for stocks, gold, Bitcoin, oil, and the U.S. dollar to show why I believe market conditions have shifted from euphoria to caution. The S&P 500 is showing technical warning signs, and when price action, sentiment, and money flows begin to weaken at the same time, it often signals that investors are becoming more defensive. I also shared how I trimmed exposure near the highs, not because anyone can know the exact top, but because risk was increasing while upside momentum was starting to fade.

We also discussed downside targets across several major markets, including the potential for a deeper pullback in stocks, continued pressure in Bitcoin, and downside risk in gold and miners after extended moves. Parabolic markets can be exciting on the way up, but history shows they can reverse sharply when momentum breaks. At the same time, the U.S. dollar is starting to look attractive from a technical perspective, which could add pressure to risk assets and commodities if capital continues rotating into defensive areas.

Published June 25, 2026

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Topics that David and I discussed include:

  • 0:00 – Stocks, Gold, Bitcoin Downside Targets
  • 1:01 – From Market Euphoria To Caution
  • 2:43 – S&P 500 Technical Warning Signs
  • 5:32 – How Chris Trimmed Near The Top
  • 10:13 – Bitcoin Breakdown And $16K Risk
  • 13:50 – S&P 500 Pullback Targets
  • 15:06 – Inflation, Fed Rates, And Market Pressure
  • 21:28 – Why Parabolic Moves Can Crash
  • 24:48 – Gold, Miners, And Downside Risk
  • 34:10 – Why The U.S. Dollar Looks Attractive

Chris Vermeulen
Chief Investment Officer
TheTechnicalTraders.com

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